Gandhinagar: The severe cyclonic storm Maha, which lay centered over east central Arabian sea around 520 km South-SouthWest of Veraval in Gujarat is very likely to intensify in to a very severe storm in next 24 hours and take a re-curve towards South Gujarat and North Maharashtra coast after November 4.

Under its impact heavy rainfall will take place in parts of South Gujarat and coastal Saurashtra region on November 6, however the ‘news of relief’ is that while approaching Gujarat coast it would weaken considerably.

Spells of light to moderate rain will also continue for at least next five days even as some parts of the state have seen moderate to heavy rain today also. From 6 am to 6pm today a total of 103 talukas of 26 districts including Ahmedabad recorded some amount of rain with maximum 84 mm in Khergam in Navsari district of South Gujarat.

Limbdi in Surendranagar has seen 67mm, Dharampur in Valsad 62mm, Khedbrahma in Sabarkantha and Kaprada in Valsad district 35mm each while Waghai in Dangs 34 mm.

Ahmedabad city has also seen an average of around 3 mm of light rain.

According to the met bulletin issued this evening here the synoptic situation, general forecast and heavy rain warnings are as follows –

SYNOPTIC SITUATION : – The Severe Cyclonic Storm MAHA (Pronounced as M’maha) over eastcentral Arabian Sea moved northwest wards with a speed of 10 kmph during past 06 hours, and lay centered at 1430 hrs IST of today over eastcentral Arabian Sea near latitude 16.8°N and longitude 67.9°E, about 520 km south-southwest of Veraval (Gujarat) and 540 km south-southwest of Diu. It is very likely to move west-northwestwards till November 4 and recurve east- northeastwards towards south Gujarat and adjoining north Maharashtra coasts thereafter. It is very likely to intensify into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm over east central Arabian Sea during next 24 hours.

 

However, after the re-curve, it is very likely to weaken gradually while moving east-northeastwards.

The Depression over westcentral Arabian Sea moved west­-southwestwards with a speed of 27 kmph during past 06 hours and lay centred at 1430 hours IST of today, over westcentral Arabian Sea near Latitude 12.5°N and Longitude 53.8°E, close to Socotra Island and 300 km east­northeast of Bereeda (Somalia). It is very likely to move west­southwestwards towards Somalia coast across Socotra Island during next 12 hours and weaken into a Well Marked Low Pressure Area thereafter.

 

 

 

 

 

 

LOCAL FORECAST FOR AHMEDABAD:

LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN/ THUNDERSHOWERS VERY LIKELY.
MINIMUM TEMPERATURE VERY LIKELY 24 DEG C.
TODAY’S MAX TEMP 29.7 °C DEPARTURE FROM NORMAL -1.2 °C
TODAY’S MIN TEMP 24.6°C DEP +6.3 °C

STATE FORECAST: No large change in Maximum and minimum temperature over the region during next 2-3 days very likely.

DAY-1 (Valid from time of origin to 0830 Hrs. IST of 03/11/2019):-

Light to moderate rain/ thundershowers very likely at a few places in all the districts of South Gujarat region and in Daman, Dadra Nagar Haveli; in the districts of North Gujarat region namely Sabarkantha, Kheda, Anand, Dahod, Mahisagar, Panchmahal, Ahmedabad; in the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch namely Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar, Bhavnagar, Amreli, Gir Somnath, Rajkot, Botad, Morbi, Surendranagar, Junagadh, Kutch and in Diu. Dry weather very likely in remaining districts of North Gujarat region, Saurashtra.

DAY-2 (Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 03/11/2019 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 04/11/2019):- Light to moderate rain/ thundershowers very likely at a few places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Ahmedabad, Anand, Kheda, Panchmahal, Dahod, Bharuch, Narmada, Surat Tapi, Dangs, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadra Nagar Haveli at isolated places in the districts of Saurashtra- Kutch namely Gir Somnath, Junagadh, Porbandar, Dwarka, Kutch and in Diu. Dry weather very likely in remaining districts of Gujarat region, Saurashtra.

DAY-3(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 04/11/2019 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 05/11/2019):- Light to moderate rain/ thundershowers very likely at isolated places in the districts of South Gujarat region namely Dangs, Valsad, Navsari and in Daman, Dadra Nagar Haveli; in the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch namely Gir Somnath, Junagadh, Porbandar, Kutch and in Diu. Dry weather very likely in all the districts of North Gujarat region, remaining districts of South Gujarat region, Saurashtra.

DAY-4 (Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 05/11/2019 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 06/11/2019):- Light to moderate rain/ thundershowers very likely at isolated places in the districts of South Gujarat region namely Dangs, Valsad, Navsari and in Daman, Dadra Nagar Haveli; in the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch namely Gir Somnath, Junagadh, Porbandar, Kutch and in Diu. Dry weather very likely in all the districts of North Gujarat region, remaining districts of South Gujarat region, Saurashtra.

DAY-5(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 06/11/2019 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 07/11/2019):- Light to moderate rain/ thundershowers very likely at many places in all the districts of South Gujarat region, Saurashtra and in Diu, Daman, Dadra Nagar Haveli; at a few places in the districts of North Gujarat region namely Banaskantha, Patan and Mehsana; in Kutch district. Dry weather very likely in all the districts of North Gujarat region.

HEAVY RAIN Warning for 5 days

DAY 1 (TODAY): Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of South Gujarat region namely Valsad, Navsari and in Daman, Dadra Nagar Haveli; in the districts of Saurashtra namely Bhavnagar, Botad, Amreli and Surendranagar.

DAY 2: NIL.

DAY 3: NIL.

DAY 4: NIL

DAY 5: Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of South Gujarat region namely Surat, Valsad, Navsari and in Daman, Dadra Nagar Haveli; in the districts of Saurashtra namely Gir Somnath, Bhavnagar, Amreli, Junagadh.